The supply of pepper has seen a dramatic
increase over the last ten years. While prices have
fallen over the last three years, the market has absorbed
the supply of pepper
Global Scenario
-
 The global production of pepper fluctuates between
3-3.5 lakh tons tons, with a production
of 3.25 lakh tons recorded in 2003.
-
Vietnam (85000 tons), Indonesia
(67000 tons), India (65000 tons), Brazil (35000
tons), Malaysia (22000 tons), Sri Lanka (12750
tons), Thailand, China are the major producers
of pepper in the World.
- Vietnam's sudden increase in production has resulted
in the global production, increasing to 3-3.5 lakh
tons from 1.9-2 lakh tons in the late nineties. Vietnam
is the world's largest producer and exporter of pepper
in the world now.
- The global exports of pepper are around 2-2.5
lakh tons, with 2.29 lakh tons being exported in
2003.
- The major exporters of pepper are Vietnam (82000
tons), Indonesia (57000 tons), Brazil (37940 tons),
Malaysia (18500 tons) and India (17200 tons).
Major World Markets
- New York, Singapore and Rotterdam are major international
trading centers for pepper. The primary international
grades and their markets are Lampung at Panjang (Indonesia),
Sarawak at Kuching (Malaysia), Vietnam at HCM City
(Vietnam). However, Malabar grade of pepper from
India traded at Kochi, Kerala is considered to be
the premium grade of pepper and rules above the international
grades.
Indian Scenario
- India harvests most of its pepper at the beginning
of the year. During 2003, production of pepper in
India was reported to be 65,000 tons against 80,000
tons in 2002.
- Kerala accounts for 90% of India's pepper production.
The other producers are Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.
- During 2003, Indian exports of pepper amounted
to 17,200 tons, registering a 31% fall compared to
exports of 24,914 tons in 2002. The export in 2003
was the lowest quantity of pepper exported from India
during the last four decades. This quantity was only
64% of the average export over the last five years.
In terms of export share, India contributed only
8% to total producing country exports in 2003, a
fall from the 14% of average share during last five
years.
- Developments in the spice industry in India have
significantly affected exports. During 2003, export
of whole pepper from India was only 26% of the total
production, against 31% during 2002. The main market
for Malabar black was United States, which traditionally
imported around 50% of India's exports, followed
by Canada, Netherlands and Italy. However, during
2003, only 30% of India's export was shipped to the
United States.
Major Indian Markets
- Kochi, Sulthan Bathery in Kerala are the major
primary markets. Nagpur, Indore and Delhi have recently
developed as the major up country markets for pepper.
Monthly Price Volatility of MG1 Pepper at
Kochi (1998-2003)
| Monthly
% Volatility |
0-2 |
2 -
5 |
5 -
10 |
10 -
15 |
15 -
20 |
> 20 |
| % Occurrence |
18.6 |
27.1 |
32.2 |
15.3 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
Markets Influencing Factors
- Indian pepper is at a premium against all the
international grades. However, the production and
exports of pepper from other locations has a profound
influence on Indian pepper prices too.
- Weather and the annual production of a year.
- Year ending stocks and stocks-to-consumption.
- Indian pepper arrives in the market in the beginning
of the year. However, distress selling is not witnessed
in pepper and the producers hold back the stock in
anticipation of better prices.
- Government policies with regard to imports and
exports.
- Traders allege large-scale imports of pepper from
Sri Lanka and re-export from India as a major price
depressing factor and Government has been asked to
take measures to stop this practice.
|